Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.7% vs Horvat 55.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 60.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Hayton
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hayton
Horvat
Last 5: Hayton 0-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (628)
55.2% (670)
-2.3%
Power Play
57.3% (110)
61.8% (225)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
46.9% (98)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Hayton is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Hayton shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Hayton
Horvat
Home
57.9% (413)
58.1% (449)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Hayton
Horvat
P1
53.4%
59.2%
P2
50.9%
53.1%
P3
55.6%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
54.0%▬
53.0%
53.1%
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |