Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Horvat 53.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 62.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 58.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Hayton
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Horvat
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
53.5% (1,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
56.3% (272)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
51.3% (76)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Hayton
Horvat
Home
47.4% (171)
54.2% (714)
Away
51.4% (247)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Hayton
Horvat
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
50.0%
56.3%
P3
49.0%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |