Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Horvat 55.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 71.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 71.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Hayton
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hayton
Horvat
Last 5: Hayton 0-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
55.3% (682)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.2% (230)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
46.5% (101)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Hayton
Horvat
Home
56.9% (432)
58.2% (469)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Hayton
Horvat
P1
53.1%
59.6%
P2
50.3%
53.1%
P3
55.4%
55.5%
OT
25.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |