Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Horvat 56.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 70.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 72.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 75.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Hayton
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayton
Horvat
Last 8: Hayton 2-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
4
Hayton
Horvat
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
2
Hayton
Horvat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
54.7% (1,126)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
67.0% (342)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
52.1% (217)
-7.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Hayton
Horvat
Home
54.6% (639)
59.8% (853)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.8% (832)
By Period
Hayton
Horvat
P1
50.9%
55.0%
P2
52.7%
58.3%
P3
49.9%
57.8%
OT
41.7%
44.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | OT | 03:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |