Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Schenn 46.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 75.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 79.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Hayton
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Hayton
Schenn
Last 10: Hayton 9-1 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Schenn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Schenn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
1
Hayton
Schenn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
45.6% (798)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
52.8% (127)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
46.1% (89)
-1.1%
On even strength, Hayton has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schenn
Home
54.6% (639)
46.8% (494)
Away
47.2% (591)
46.3% (520)
By Period
Hayton
Schenn
P1
50.9%
50.3%
P2
52.7%
47.0%
P3
49.9%
42.2%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |