Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.6%). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Schenn 53.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.0%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 52.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayton
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Schenn
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schenn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
51.2% (613)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
63.6% (107)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
72.7% (22)
-35.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schenn
Home
56.9% (432)
54.0% (367)
Away
47.4% (344)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Hayton
Schenn
P1
53.1%
48.6%
P2
50.3%
52.0%
P3
55.4%
59.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |