Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 54.0%). Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Schenn 53.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 54.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayton
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Schenn
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schenn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
51.3% (505)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
63.6% (99)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
77.8% (18)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Schenn is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schenn
Home
57.8% (301)
53.8% (331)
Away
47.7% (266)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Hayton
Schenn
P1
52.6%
47.6%
P2
49.3%
52.7%
P3
58.1%
60.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |