Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Schenn 52.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Hayton
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Hayton
Schenn
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
8
1
Hayton
Schenn
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Schenn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Schenn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
52.2% (962)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
51.2% (166)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
57.4% (54)
-4.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schenn
Home
53.9% (516)
51.1% (575)
Away
54.4% (504)
53.4% (607)
By Period
Hayton
Schenn
P1
55.1%
51.4%
P2
55.0%
52.7%
P3
51.7%
52.7%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |