Barrett Hayton vs Chandler Stephenson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 85.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 68.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Hayton
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayton
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Stephenson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
51.6% (829)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
62.7% (142)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
44.3% (79)
-1.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stephenson
Home
47.4% (171)
52.5% (499)
Away
51.4% (247)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Hayton
Stephenson
P1
49.6%
50.2%
P2
50.0%
55.7%
P3
49.0%
50.9%
OT
75.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |