Barrett Hayton vs Chandler Stephenson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Stephenson 52.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 56.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Hayton
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
14
(32 meetings)
18
14
Hayton
Stephenson
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
9
8
Hayton
Stephenson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
4
Hayton
Stephenson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Stephenson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
51.9% (5,743)
-1.1%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
59.8% (1,107)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.7% (823)
-0.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stephenson
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.6% (3,827)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
52.2% (3,846)
By Period
Hayton
Stephenson
P1
52.0%
51.6%
P2
51.4%
52.4%
P3
49.9%
52.8%
OT
58.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |