Barrett Hayton vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.2%). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hayton
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
52.1% (801)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.0% (242)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
39.9% (183)
-3.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stephenson
Home
56.9% (432)
53.1% (672)
Away
47.4% (344)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Hayton
Stephenson
P1
53.1%
54.6%
P2
50.3%
51.3%
P3
55.4%
51.2%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |