Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Dewar 45.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 89.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 66.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 80.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Hayton
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Hayton
Dewar
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
2
Hayton
Dewar
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dewar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Dewar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
45.4% (443)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
75.0% (8)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
28.8% (52)
+16.2%
On power play, Dewar has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dewar
Home
54.6% (639)
43.3% (238)
Away
47.2% (591)
44.9% (265)
By Period
Hayton
Dewar
P1
50.9%
41.7%
P2
52.7%
46.1%
P3
49.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |