Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Dewar 46.0% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 74.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 51.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Hayton
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Hayton
Dewar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
40.2% (92)
+12.4%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
100.0% (1)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
48.4% (31)
+4.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dewar
Home
53.9% (516)
41.0% (78)
Away
54.4% (504)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Hayton
Dewar
P1
55.1%
38.9%
P2
55.0%
53.3%
P3
51.7%
34.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |