Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Dewar 47.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 66.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 56.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Hayton
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Hayton
Dewar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dewar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Hayton
Dewar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
46.2% (331)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
45.5% (11)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
50.0% (68)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dewar
Home
47.4% (171)
43.9% (189)
Away
51.4% (247)
49.3% (221)
By Period
Hayton
Dewar
P1
49.6%
50.4%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |