Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 50.0% vs Grant 50.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 79.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayton
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Grant
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Hayton
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Hayton
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (58)
54.5% (415)
-2.8%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
42.9% (14)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Hayton is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Hayton shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Hayton
Grant
Home
48.0% (50)
51.5% (266)
Away
53.3% (30)
50.7% (300)
By Period
Hayton
Grant
P1
48.4%
48.3%
P2
56.3%
52.2%
P3
41.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
50.0%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |