Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Grant 52.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 71.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Hayton
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Hayton
Grant
Last 10: Hayton 3-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Grant
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
5
Hayton
Grant
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Hayton
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
53.7% (2,864)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
61.7% (175)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
46.0% (922)
-0.8%
On power play, Grant has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Hayton
Grant
Home
52.9% (2,268)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Hayton
Grant
P1
52.0%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
51.5%
P3
49.9%
54.3%
OT
58.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |