Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Grant 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 65.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hayton
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Grant
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
3
Hayton
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Hayton
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
49.1% (222)
-1.0%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
76.5% (17)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
45.3% (181)
-1.9%
On power play, Grant has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Hayton
Grant
Home
48.8% (424)
49.8% (223)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Hayton
Grant
P1
52.9%
43.9%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
44.1%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |