Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Grant 54.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 74.0%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Hayton
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
56.5% (308)
-5.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
65.3% (49)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
48.5% (136)
-3.5%
On power play, Grant has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Hayton
Grant
Home
54.6% (639)
60.3% (257)
Away
47.2% (591)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Hayton
Grant
P1
50.9%
54.7%
P2
52.7%
54.0%
P3
49.9%
57.1%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |