Barrett Hayton vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Pageau 56.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 78.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 77.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 74.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Hayton
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayton
Pageau
Last 8: Hayton 2-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Hayton
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Hayton
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
58.8% (889)
-7.8%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
58.2% (182)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
48.6% (185)
-3.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pageau
Home
54.6% (639)
59.0% (595)
Away
47.2% (591)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Hayton
Pageau
P1
50.9%
58.9%
P2
52.7%
57.9%
P3
49.9%
55.6%
OT
41.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |