Barrett Hayton vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 83.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Hayton
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Pageau
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Hayton
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Hayton
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
57.1% (905)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
55.2% (116)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
48.0% (204)
-5.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pageau
Home
47.4% (171)
57.0% (618)
Away
51.4% (247)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Hayton
Pageau
P1
49.6%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
61.0%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |