Barrett Hayton vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Pageau 58.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 67.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 60.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Hayton
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Pageau
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Hayton
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
59.6% (711)
-7.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
64.0% (114)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
56.4% (163)
-3.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pageau
Home
53.9% (516)
59.3% (506)
Away
54.4% (504)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Hayton
Pageau
P1
55.1%
56.8%
P2
55.0%
64.4%
P3
51.7%
56.9%
OT
69.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |