Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Dach 35.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 71.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 86.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 83.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Hayton
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayton
Dach
Last 9: Hayton 6-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Dach
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Dach
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
32.5% (510)
+15.6%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
36.8% (19)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
37.5% (16)
+5.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dach
Home
48.8% (424)
33.5% (278)
Away
47.5% (438)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Hayton
Dach
P1
52.9%
35.3%
P2
47.3%
30.6%
P3
44.1%
33.7%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |