Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Dach 43.2% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Hayton
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dach
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dach
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Hayton
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
39.6% (217)
+13.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
47.6% (21)
+15.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dach
Home
53.9% (516)
37.8% (127)
Away
54.4% (504)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Hayton
Dach
P1
55.1%
32.9%
P2
55.0%
36.3%
P3
51.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |