Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Dach 37.3% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 92.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 95.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 94.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Hayton
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Hayton
Dach
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Dach
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Dach
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
3
Hayton
Dach
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
36.5% (1,423)
+14.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
35.7% (98)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
36.0% (25)
+9.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dach
Home
52.9% (2,268)
37.0% (857)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Hayton
Dach
P1
52.0%
35.3%
P2
51.4%
34.5%
P3
49.9%
40.4%
OT
58.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |