Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 84.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 86.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 86.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Hayton
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayton
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
34.4% (535)
+15.9%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
42.9% (21)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
40.0% (5)
+2.4%
On even strength, Hayton has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Hayton
Carlsson
Home
47.4% (171)
38.6% (254)
Away
51.4% (247)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Hayton
Carlsson
P1
49.6%
35.9%
P2
50.0%
33.8%
P3
49.0%
34.3%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |