Barrett Hayton vs Leo Carlsson

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Barrett Hayton holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hayton 53.8% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+12.7%)
H2H factor Hayton leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Hayton 91.5%
Defensive zone Hayton 89.6%
Neutral zone Hayton 90.1%
Result Barrett Hayton favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Hayton Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 4 (14 meetings)
10
4
Hayton Carlsson
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
1
Hayton Carlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton Carlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton Carlsson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hayton
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
41.8% (648)
+10.8%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
37.3% (51)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
38.7% (31)
+14.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +26.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Hayton
Carlsson
Home
53.9% (516)
44.5% (362)
Away
54.4% (504)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Hayton
Carlsson
P1
55.1%
46.3%
P2
55.0%
35.1%
P3
51.7%
43.9%
OT
69.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%
51.0%
54.1%
Carlsson
38.0%
39.5%
41.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 12, 2025 3 15:05 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Mar 12, 2025 2 04:36 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Mar 12, 2025 1 11:22 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Dec 22, 2024 3 00:35 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 22, 2024 3 00:27 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 22, 2024 1 06:15 Neutral Barrett Hayton
Dec 22, 2024 1 02:41 Offensive Leo Carlsson
Dec 22, 2024 1 00:35 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Dec 22, 2024 1 00:28 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Oct 16, 2024 OT 00:00 Neutral Barrett Hayton
Oct 16, 2024 3 19:11 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Oct 16, 2024 3 14:18 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Oct 16, 2024 2 14:42 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Oct 16, 2024 2 05:46 Defensive Barrett Hayton