Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Beniers 42.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.7%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hayton
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hayton
Beniers
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
Hayton
Beniers
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
42.3% (879)
+8.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
40.3% (72)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
44.4% (18)
+0.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Hayton
Beniers
Home
54.6% (639)
43.8% (495)
Away
47.2% (591)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Hayton
Beniers
P1
50.9%
43.3%
P2
52.7%
45.6%
P3
49.9%
38.2%
OT
41.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |