Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Beniers 47.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 59.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 60.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Hayton
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Beniers
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
3
Hayton
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Hayton
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
47.3% (945)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
51.7% (145)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
23.8% (21)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Hayton
Beniers
Home
47.4% (171)
49.6% (565)
Away
51.4% (247)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Hayton
Beniers
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
50.0%
49.0%
P3
49.0%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
23.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |