Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Beniers 47.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 77.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 77.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Hayton
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Hayton
Beniers
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hayton
Beniers
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
48.3% (1,050)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
42.9% (105)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
43.6% (39)
+9.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Hayton
Beniers
Home
53.9% (516)
48.7% (630)
Away
54.4% (504)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Hayton
Beniers
P1
55.1%
49.2%
P2
55.0%
45.0%
P3
51.7%
49.3%
OT
69.2%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |