Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Geekie 52.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 70.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 64.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 63.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Hayton
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Geekie
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Hayton
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
53.2% (615)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
44.4% (36)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
44.4% (18)
-1.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Hayton
Geekie
Home
48.8% (424)
55.0% (331)
Away
47.5% (438)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Hayton
Geekie
P1
52.9%
53.9%
P2
47.3%
56.0%
P3
44.1%
46.5%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |