Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hayton
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayton
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hayton
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
48.9% (280)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
50.0% (6)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.2% (36)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bjugstad
Home
56.9% (432)
48.4% (190)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Hayton
Bjugstad
P1
53.1%
41.7%
P2
50.3%
56.6%
P3
55.4%
48.7%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |