Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hayton
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
46.7% (398)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
51.6% (31)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
62.5% (8)
-9.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bjugstad
Home
53.9% (516)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Hayton
Bjugstad
P1
55.1%
46.1%
P2
55.0%
46.3%
P3
51.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%