Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 52.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Hayton
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hayton
Bjugstad
Last 8: Hayton 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hayton
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
55.9% (245)
-7.8%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
0.0% (3)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
57.1% (7)
-13.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayton is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Hayton shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bjugstad
Home
48.8% (424)
53.2% (111)
Away
47.5% (438)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Hayton
Bjugstad
P1
52.9%
44.6%
P2
47.3%
61.4%
P3
44.1%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |