Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 78.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 64.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Hayton
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Hayton
Bjugstad
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Hayton
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
49.4% (867)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
56.0% (25)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
40.7% (216)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bjugstad
Home
54.6% (639)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.2% (591)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Hayton
Bjugstad
P1
50.9%
48.7%
P2
52.7%
45.6%
P3
49.9%
49.1%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |