Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Suzuki
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hayton
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
47.0% (1,066)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
49.5% (204)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
46.6% (131)
-1.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
54.6% (639)
49.4% (686)
Away
47.2% (591)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
50.9%
45.6%
P2
52.7%
46.9%
P3
49.9%
49.8%
OT
41.7%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |