Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hayton
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
52.4% (981)
+0.2%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
50.7% (304)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
36.4% (33)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
53.9% (516)
53.2% (645)
Away
54.4% (504)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
55.1%
48.9%
P2
55.0%
51.5%
P3
51.7%
54.9%
OT
69.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |