Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 88.9%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 75.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 78.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Suzuki
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hayton
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
51.3% (1,096)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
59.9% (157)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
56.9% (58)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
47.4% (171)
54.2% (638)
Away
51.4% (247)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
49.6%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
49.0%
52.4%
OT
75.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |