Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Acciari 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 63.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 54.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Hayton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Hayton
Acciari
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Hayton
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
54.5% (532)
-3.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
62.5% (8)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
48.8% (86)
-3.8%
On power play, Acciari has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Hayton
Acciari
Home
54.6% (639)
56.2% (281)
Away
47.2% (591)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Hayton
Acciari
P1
50.9%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
57.1%
P3
49.9%
51.4%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |