Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Acciari 51.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 81.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 83.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Hayton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hayton
Acciari
Last 9: Hayton 3-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Hayton
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Hayton
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
53.0% (285)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
31.3% (16)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.8% (183)
-14.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Hayton
Acciari
Home
56.9% (432)
53.2% (267)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Hayton
Acciari
P1
53.1%
53.1%
P2
50.3%
51.1%
P3
55.4%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |