Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 77.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 78.6%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Hayton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Hayton
Acciari
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
11
2
Hayton
Acciari
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
9
Hayton
Acciari
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Hayton
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
52.8% (3,276)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
48.2% (85)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
47.1% (1,061)
-1.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Hayton
Acciari
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Hayton
Acciari
P1
52.0%
52.2%
P2
51.4%
51.5%
P3
49.9%
50.5%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |