Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 48.3% vs McLeod 47.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 68.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 65.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 58.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Hayton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
McLeod
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Hayton
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (643)
47.8% (448)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.6% (90)
48.1% (52)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
36.0% (25)
+7.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayton is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Hayton shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hayton
McLeod
Home
48.8% (424)
46.6% (253)
Away
47.5% (438)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Hayton
McLeod
P1
52.9%
43.9%
P2
47.3%
45.9%
P3
44.1%
52.1%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
48.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |