Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%). Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 71.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 55.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 68.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayton
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Lafferty
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
4
Hayton
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
52.2% (366)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.0% (15)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
46.2% (104)
-1.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
54.6% (639)
53.1% (258)
Away
47.2% (591)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
50.9%
52.5%
P2
52.7%
49.7%
P3
49.9%
51.3%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |