Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayton 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 60.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Hayton
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
50.7% (144)
+1.9%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
50.0% (2)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
50.0% (10)
+3.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
53.9% (516)
53.2% (62)
Away
54.4% (504)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
55.1%
53.3%
P2
55.0%
46.7%
P3
51.7%
52.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%