Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Hayton
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
42.6% (324)
+7.7%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
31.3% (16)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
43.8% (16)
-1.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lafferty
Home
47.4% (171)
40.9% (181)
Away
51.4% (247)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Hayton
Lafferty
P1
49.6%
42.2%
P2
50.0%
36.4%
P3
49.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%