Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Monahan 54.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 66.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Hayton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Monahan
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Hayton
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
57.1% (871)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
53.1% (262)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
44.6% (139)
-2.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Hayton
Monahan
Home
47.4% (171)
55.3% (644)
Away
51.4% (247)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Hayton
Monahan
P1
49.6%
53.9%
P2
50.0%
55.3%
P3
49.0%
54.4%
OT
75.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |