Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 65.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Hayton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Hayton
Monahan
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Hayton
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
53.7% (2,580)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
46.0% (766)
-0.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,799).
Hayton shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Hayton
Monahan
Home
52.9% (2,268)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Hayton
Monahan
P1
52.0%
50.9%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
49.9%
51.0%
OT
58.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |