Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Pinto 50.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 85.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Hayton
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Pinto
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
50.4% (779)
+2.2%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
55.2% (29)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
44.9% (78)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pinto
Home
53.9% (516)
52.4% (454)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Hayton
Pinto
P1
55.1%
48.1%
P2
55.0%
52.9%
P3
51.7%
49.3%
OT
69.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |