Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 65.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Hayton
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Pinto
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Hayton
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
50.2% (520)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
68.0% (25)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
49.4% (89)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pinto
Home
56.9% (432)
48.8% (301)
Away
47.4% (344)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Hayton
Pinto
P1
53.1%
51.2%
P2
50.3%
48.9%
P3
55.4%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |