Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.3%). Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Pinto 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 62.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 58.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayton
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Hayton
Pinto
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
3
Hayton
Pinto
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
Pinto
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
1
Hayton
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
50.6% (2,716)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
54.4% (90)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
44.9% (234)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pinto
Home
52.9% (2,268)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Hayton
Pinto
P1
52.0%
48.3%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
49.9%
50.9%
OT
58.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |