Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Wright 45.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 65.9%
Defensive zone
Wright 57.5%
Neutral zone
Wright 63.1%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Hayton
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hayton
Wright
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
Hayton
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
43.9% (758)
+8.7%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
50.7% (67)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
40.0% (5)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Hayton
Wright
Home
53.9% (516)
46.3% (406)
Away
54.4% (504)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Hayton
Wright
P1
55.1%
46.8%
P2
55.0%
42.6%
P3
51.7%
44.4%
OT
69.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |