Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Wright 43.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.0%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Hayton
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Hayton
Wright
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Hayton
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Wright
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,479)
42.6% (1,318)
+8.2%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
45.8% (131)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
33.3% (6)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Hayton
Wright
Home
52.9% (2,268)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Hayton
Wright
P1
52.0%
44.4%
P2
51.4%
40.7%
P3
49.9%
44.0%
OT
58.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |